Coronavirus And The EconomyWith Euro 2020 now at the knock-out stages, it’s time to reassess the chances of the last 16 teams progressing further. ‘Scorecasting’ economists make England slight favourites to reach the final from their side of the draw; while Wales have a 5% chance of going to Wembley. Before the European Championships began, we published some […]
Following last night’s victory over Germany at Wembley, England’s chances of lifting the trophy on 11 July have improved dramatically – but they’re still only 21%. Tough matches lie ahead, and ‘score-casting’ results in the knock-out stages remains difficult. Since 1996, England fans have sung ‘It’s coming home’ with varying degrees of sarcasm, hope and […]
Four teams are left in Euro 2020, with Italy now the favourites. Each of the semi-finalists has enjoyed a home advantage during the group stages, but with the semi-finals and final taking place at Wembley, chances may have swung slightly in England’s favour. The 2020 European Championships is now down to the final four nations […]
Eight teams are left in the football’s men’s World Cup in Qatar. ‘Scorecasting’ economists find that Brazil’s position as favourites has been enhanced: their probability of winning the tournament is now 34%. England’s chances of bringing home the trophy have risen slightly to 12%. Eight teams remain in the World Cup as we progress deep […]
Historical ratings of international football teams indicate that this weekend will see the most evenly matched World Cup final ever. The game could well go into extra time – and if it ends up with penalties, evidence suggests that the captain who wins the toss gives his team the edge. On Sunday, France and Argentina […]